Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gomel win with a probability of 83.6%. A draw had a probability of 11.2% and a win for Sputnik had a probability of 5.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gomel win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (12.11%) and 0-4 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.31%), while for a Sputnik win it was 1-0 (1.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gomel would win this match.
