Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 11, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
Sao Paulo2 - 2Alianza Lima
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Sao Paulo and Alianza Lima.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 0-0 Sao Paulo
Sunday, April 6 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, April 6 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
0
Last Game: Alianza Lima 0-1 Libertad
Wednesday, April 2 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
Wednesday, April 2 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 66.58%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Alianza Lima had a probability of 12.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.03%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for an Alianza Lima win it was 0-1 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sao Paulo | Draw | Alianza Lima |
66.58% ( -0.1) | 20.47% ( 0.04) | 12.95% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 44.6% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.65% ( -0.03) | 49.35% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.6% ( -0.03) | 71.4% ( 0.04) |
| Sao Paulo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.06% ( -0.04) | 13.94% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.59% ( -0.08) | 41.41% ( 0.09) |
| Alianza Lima Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.82% ( 0.08) | 48.18% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 16.64% ( 0.06) | 83.36% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
Sao Paulo 66.57%
Alianza Lima 12.95%
Draw 20.47%
| Sao Paulo | Draw | Alianza Lima |
| 1-0 @ 13.23% 2-0 @ 13.03% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.25% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 4.22% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.08% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.28% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.4% Total : 66.57% | 1-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.61% Total : 20.47% | 0-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.72% Total : 12.95% |
Form Guide
