Serie A | Gameweek 32
Apr 11, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Dacia Arena
Udinese0 - 4AC Milan
We said: Udinese 1-2 AC Milan
Milan may not be in good shape - particularly at the back - but Udinese have hit a barren patch and have little left to play for this season. A dismal away record should not deter the Rossoneri in Udine, and they can eke out a win that keeps their faint top-six dreams alive. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 43.23%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Udinese win was 1-0 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Udinese | Draw | AC Milan |
31.59% ( 0.39) | 25.17% ( -0.03) | 43.23% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 55.9% ( 0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.47% ( 0.3) | 47.52% ( -0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.27% ( 0.27) | 69.73% ( -0.28) |
| Udinese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.63% ( 0.41) | 28.37% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.88% ( 0.51) | 64.11% ( -0.51) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.04% ( -0.04) | 21.96% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.75% ( -0.06) | 55.24% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
Udinese 31.59%
AC Milan 43.23%
Draw 25.16%
| Udinese | Draw | AC Milan |
| 1-0 @ 7.85% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.49% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.15% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 2.08% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.71% Total : 31.59% | 1-1 @ 11.89% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.16% | 0-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 9.02% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 7.16% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 4.56% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.62% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.73% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.38% Total : 43.23% |
How you voted: Udinese vs AC Milan
Udinese
12.3%Draw
15.6%AC Milan
72.1%122
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 8
AC Milan
1-0
Udinese
Nov 4, 2023 7.45pm
Mar 18, 2023 7.45pm
