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La Liga | Gameweek 31
Apr 11, 2025 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Sevilla logo

Valencia
1 - 0
Sevilla

Guerra (45+4')
Guerra (46'), Foulquier (79'), Gaya (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Salas (72'), Angel Carmona (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Real Madrid 1-2 Valencia
Saturday, April 5 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Sevilla 1-2 Atletico
Sunday, April 6 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Valencia 2-1 Sevilla

Valencia have won seven of their 15 La Liga matches at Mestalla this season, and we are backing them to secure another three points here; Sevilla are in disappointing form, and they could be undone by an in-form Los Che outfit. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 37.85%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 34.69% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 0-1 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Valencia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Valencia.

Result
ValenciaDrawSevilla
37.85% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01) 27.46%34.69% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Both teams to score 49.39% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.76% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)56.24% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.71% (0.0040000000000013 0)77.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)28.75% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.42% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)64.59% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.31% (0.010999999999996 0.01)30.69% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.06% (0.012999999999998 0.01)66.94% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 37.84%
    Sevilla 34.69%
    Draw 27.45%
ValenciaDrawSevilla
1-0 @ 10.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.1% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 6.86% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
3-1 @ 3.37% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.85% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.99% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 37.84%
1-1 @ 12.99%
0-0 @ 8.82% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 4.78% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.45%
0-1 @ 10.42%
1-2 @ 7.67% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 6.16% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 3.02% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.42% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.88%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 34.69%

How you voted: Valencia vs Sevilla

Valencia
Draw
Sevilla
Valencia
70.3%
Draw
17.8%
Sevilla
11.9%
101
Head to Head
Jan 11, 2025 8pm
Gameweek 19
Sevilla
1-1
Valencia
Pedrosa (90+3')
Sow (70')
Rioja (61')
Foulquier (34'), Sadiq (75')
Feb 17, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 25
Valencia
0-0
Sevilla
Bade (78')
Aug 11, 2023 9pm
Gameweek 1
Sevilla
1-2
Valencia
En-Nesyri (69')
Rakitic (14'), Gudelj (45'), Acuna (90+7')
Bade (81')
Diakhaby (60'), Guerra (88')
Diakhaby (10'), Ozkacar (16')
Apr 16, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 29
Valencia
0-2
Sevilla
Bade (55'), Suso (75')
Oct 18, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 10
Sevilla
1-1
Valencia
Lamela (86')
Cavani (6')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona35264595365982
2Real Madrid35236672373575
3Atletico MadridAtletico352010560273370
4Athletic Bilbao351713551262564
5Villarreal351710861471461
6Real BetisBetis351610953431058
7Celta Vigo35147145554149
8Rayo Vallecano351211123742-547
9Mallorca35138143340-747
10Valencia351112124351-845
11Osasuna351015104351-845
12Real Sociedad35127163241-943
13Getafe35109163134-339
14Espanyol35109163847-939
15Sevilla35911153949-1038
16GironaGirona35108174153-1238
17AlavesAlaves35811163547-1235
18Leganes35713153553-1834
19Las PalmasLas Palmas3588194057-1732
RReal ValladolidValladolid3544272685-5916


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