MX23RW : Monday, November 4 17:59:45| >> :300:86500:86500:
Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 1
Jul 29, 2023 at 5.15pm UK
Stade du Pays de Charleroi
OH Leuven

Charleroi
1 - 1
Leuven

Dabbagh (9')
Mbenza (39'), Ilaimaharitra (52'), Heymans (79')
Stulic (17')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Opoku (84' pen.)
Maertens (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Belgian Pro League clash between Charleroi and Leuven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charleroi 2-2 Genk
Sunday, April 23 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Leicester 4-2 Leuven
Wednesday, July 19 at 11am in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Charleroi 2-1 Leuven

While Leuven will be looking to continue with their fine pre-season form, they face the stern challenge of facing an opposing side who have won their last four meetings. With that said, we are backing Charleroi to extend their recent dominance in this fixture and claim all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Leuven had a probability of 31.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Leuven win was 1-2 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
CharleroiDrawLeuven
43.93% (-0.279 -0.28) 24.67% (0.050000000000001 0.05) 31.41% (0.228 0.23)
Both teams to score 57.52% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.63% (-0.136 -0.14)45.37% (0.136 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.29% (-0.131 -0.13)67.71% (0.131 0.13)
Charleroi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.26% (-0.181 -0.18)20.74% (0.18 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.64% (-0.286 -0.29)53.36% (0.284 0.28)
Leuven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.57% (0.079000000000008 0.08)27.43% (-0.080000000000002 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.08% (0.10400000000001 0.1)62.92% (-0.104 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Charleroi 43.93%
    Leuven 31.41%
    Draw 24.66%
CharleroiDrawLeuven
2-1 @ 9.11% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.04% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.78% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.69% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.09% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.88% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.45% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 43.93%
1-1 @ 11.57% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.89% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 5.69% (0.033 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.33% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.66%
1-2 @ 7.49% (0.035 0.04)
0-1 @ 7.36% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.76% (0.049 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.23% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.54% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.05% (0.026 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.04% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 31.41%

How you voted: Charleroi vs Leuven

Charleroi
63.6%
Draw
9.1%
Leuven
27.3%
11
Head to Head
Mar 10, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Charleroi
0-1
Leuven
Al Tamari (16')
Sep 10, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Leuven
3-2
Charleroi
Maertens (22'), Gonzalez (62', 85')
Heymans (13'), Ilaimaharitra (76' pen.)
Dec 27, 2021 5.45pm
Gameweek 19
Charleroi
0-3
Leuven
De Norre (17'), Al Tamari (54'), Kaba (74')
Aug 8, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 3
Leuven
1-1
Charleroi
Henry (61')
De Norre (28')
Zorgane (8')
Knezevic (90')
Jan 27, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 22
Charleroi
1-1
Leuven
Dessoleil (61')
Gillet (46'), Fall (49')
Sowah (12')
Tshimanga (60'), Malinov (64'), Al Tamari (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Genk13101228151331
2Club BruggeBrugge137332114724
3Royal AntwerpAntwerp1372425101523
4MechelenMechelen1363427171021
5Anderlecht135531912720
6GentGent135441812619
7Westerlo135352322118
8Standard Liege13535913-418
9Union SGUnion SG133731312116
10Dender134451622-616
11Leuven133641317-415
12Cercle BruggeCercle Brugge134361621-515
13CharleroiCharleroi134271316-314
14Sint-Truiden133551823-514
15KortrijkKortrijk13427923-1414
16Beerschot WilrijkBeerschot VA131391029-196


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!