Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 33

Apr 16, 2023 at 12.30pm UK

Luminus Arena

Genk
5 - 2
Anderlecht

Samatta (36'), Outtara (45+2'), Paintsil (49', 87'), El Khannous (53')
McKenzie (9'), Preciado (31')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Slimani (43'), Dreyer (64')
Vertonghen (6'), Refaelov (20'), Diawara (52')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Genk and Anderlecht.

Form, Standings, Stats

Genk

All competitions

Last Game: Standard Liege 2-0 Genk
Sunday, April 9 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Anderlecht

All competitions

Belgian Pro League

Last Game: Anderlecht 2-0 AZ
Thursday, April 13 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 52%. A win for Anderlecht had a probability of 25.06% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Anderlecht win was 1-2 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.

Result
Genk	Draw	Anderlecht
52% ( -0.05)	22.95% ( 0.13)	25.06% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 58.61% (

-0.52)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.22% (

-0.66)

41.79% (

0.66)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.82% (

-0.66)

64.19% (

0.67)

Genk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.87% (

-0.25)

16.14% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.43% (

-0.46)

45.57% (

0.47)

Anderlecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.88% (

-0.41)

30.12% (

0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.74% (

-0.49)

66.27% (

0.5)

Score Analysis

Genk 52%

Anderlecht 25.06%

Draw 22.94%

Genk	Draw	Anderlecht
2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 8.09% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 5.9% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.54% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.69% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.46% Total : 52%	1-1 @ 10.63% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.94%	1-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.06% Total : 25.06%