Europa League | League Stage
Jan 30, 2025 at 8pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Braga
Braga1 - 0Lazio
We said: Braga 2-2 Lazio
Lazio have actually lost five of their seven away games against Portuguese clubs, but they are set to avoid defeat this week. Even without some key players - and with thoughts already drifting towards the knockout round - they should still be strong enough to eliminate Braga. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 50.18%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 25.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Braga in this match.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Lazio |
50.18% ( -0.01) | 24.69% ( 0.01) | 25.13% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 52.94% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.69% ( -0.01) | 49.31% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.64% ( -0.01) | 71.36% ( 0.01) |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.33% ( -0.01) | 19.66% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.35% ( -0.02) | 51.64% ( 0.02) |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.9% ( 0) | 34.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.21% ( 0) | 70.79% |
| Score Analysis |
Braga 50.17%
Lazio 25.13%
Draw 24.68%
| Braga | Draw | Lazio |
| 1-0 @ 10.9% 2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.87% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.17% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.81% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.1% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.96% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 2.91% Total : 50.17% | 1-1 @ 11.73% 0-0 @ 6.71% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.13% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.68% | 0-1 @ 7.21% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.31% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.88% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.26% 2-3 @ 1.84% 0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0)Other @ 2.23% Total : 25.13% |
How you voted: Braga vs Lazio
Braga
33.2%Draw
23.9%Lazio
42.9%205
