We said: Anderlecht 2-1 Hoffenheim
Anderlecht should be considered strong favourites considering their strong record at home, as well as the fact the visitors are in the midst of an injury crisis.
Hoffenheim may be forced to attack aggressively given they must win if they are to have a chance of reaching the round of 16, and if they were to do so, they may leave space in behind their defensive line for the hosts to exploit.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Anderlecht win with a probability of 56.72%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 22.55% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Anderlecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.51%) and 1-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (5.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.