Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 73%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Zulte Waregem had a probability of 11.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-3 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.83%), while for a Zulte Waregem win it was 2-1 (3.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-6 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.