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Championship | Gameweek 16
Nov 2, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
St Andrew's
Bristol City

Birmingham
3 - 0
Bristol City

McGree (14'), Hogan (68'), Gardner (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bakinson (82'), Weimann (87')

Preview: Birmingham City vs. Bristol City - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Birmingham City play host to Bristol City on Tuesday evening looking to extend their unbeaten record in the Championship to four matches.

The Robins will make the trip to St Andrew's sitting level on points with their hosts after finally ending their Ashton Gate hoodoo at the weekend.


Match preview

Birmingham City's Troy Deeney pictured on September 10, 2021© Reuters

Less than a couple of weeks ago, more and more Birmingham supporters were becoming increasing convinced that they were destined for another battle at the wrong end of the Championship.

After collecting seven points from three games, they now have a different perspective. Lee Bowyer has had to wait a while for justification when it comes to using three players at the back, but the Blues boss will feel vindicated after the win at Middlesbrough.

The success at the Riverside Stadium, which came with another clean sheet, followed four points coming from fixtures against Huddersfield Town and Swansea City.

Most notably for Bowyer, his side have ended an abysmal run of form in front of goal by showing a clinical touch against improving sides with four different players getting on the scoresheet.

On a negative note, you have to go all the way back to September 10 for the last time that Birmingham netted a goal during the opening 45 minutes.

Bristol City manager Nigel Pearson pictured on September 25, 2021© Reuters

There will be a sense of relief among the home team's fanbase on Tuesday evening, and it will be a similar feeling in the away end.

The Robins finally ended a 17-match winless streak at Ashton Gate at the weekend, posting a comeback 2-1 triumph over potential relegation rivals Barnsley in the process.

While Nigel Pearson's side had to ride their luck at times during a nervy second half, they will argue that they deserve some good fortune given the manner of some of their setbacks this season.

Back to within five points of the playoffs and still possessing the fifth-best away record in the division, Pearson will hope that Saturday's success can be the catalyst for greater things to come.

Birmingham City Championship form:
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • W

Bristol City Championship form:
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • W



Team News

Birmingham City manager Lee Bowyer on August 28, 2021© Reuters

Kristian Pedersen is a major fitness doubt for Birmingham after suffering an issue with his hamstring at Middlesbrough.

Jeremie Bela is on standby to deputise for the left wing-back, while Tahith Chong will be assessed after missing the trip to the North-East with a groin problem.

The remainder of the side should stay the same, providing that Bowyer does not want to introduce any fresh legs to account for the quick turnaround.

Jay Dasilva is expected to return to the Bristol City XI, taking the spot of the injured Cameron Pring.

Barring any other fitness issues, Pearson may be prepared to name the other 10 players which started against Barnsley.

Birmingham City possible starting lineup:
Sarkic; Sanderson, Roberts, Friend; Graham, Sunjic, Gardner, Bela; McGree, Hogan; Deeney

Bristol City possible starting lineup:
Bentley; Tanner, Kalas, Atkinson, Dasilva; Massengo, James, Bakinson; Weimann; Wells, Martin


SM words green background

We say: Birmingham City 1-1 Bristol City

With both clubs on a high after the weekend, we expect a hard-fought contest at St Andrew's. While Blues are the marginal favourites, Bristol City deserve respect for their away return this season, leading us to predict a low-scoring draw.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Written by
Darren Plant

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.96%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (11.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Birmingham vs Bristol City

Birmingham City
62.5%
Draw
19.3%
Bristol City
18.2%
88
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton26115103941-238
10Charlton AthleticCharlton2510783126537
11Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
12Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Exeter CityExeter2695122933-432
15Blackpool2571083437-331
16Stevenage248791922-331
17Wigan AthleticWigan2586112426-230
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2676134247-527
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Burton Albion2639142340-1718
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118


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