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Swansea logo
Championship | Gameweek 30
Feb 5, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Liberty Stadium
Blackburn logo

Swansea
1 - 0
Blackburn

Obafemi (16')
Ntcham (37'), Manning (38'), Christie (90+1')
Manning (53')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Rothwell (24'), Buckley (33')

Preview: Swansea City vs. Blackburn Rovers - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Blackburn Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Blackburn Rovers make the long trip to Swansea City with the opportunity to move four points clear of third position in the Championship standings.

Meanwhile, the home side head into Saturday evening's contest on the back of three games without success, leaving them in 19th position.


Match preview

Blackburn Rovers manager Tony Mowbray on January 19, 2022© Reuters

Blackburn have not recorded successive victories in the Championship since the turn of the year, a period spanning five matches, but Tony Mowbray's side have still managed to reach this stage in the automatic promotion spots.

At a time when Ben Brereton Diaz has missed matches through representing Chile, Mowbray will be satisfied with an eight-point return from a possible 15, as well as recording another four clean sheets.

Although there was disappointment after the 2-0 defeat at Hull City, Rovers have collected four points from meetings versus in-form Middlesbrough and Luton Town.

With the teams immediately behind them having a game in hand, complacency will not be an issue for his squad, but the stakes have been raised ahead of this contest considering that they can move clear of Bournemouth and Queens Park Rangers.

Blackburn added Wolverhampton Wanderers wideman Ryan Giles to their ranks on deadline day, the left-sided player having already registered nine assists for Cardiff City earlier in the campaign.

Swansea City manager Russell Martin on January 25, 2022© Reuters

While Blackburn were able to claim a goalless draw at Luton last time out, Swansea went down 1-0 to the same opponents on Tuesday night.

Russell Martin's team have now gone three matches in the Championship without troubling the scorers, making it just two goals from the last 450 minutes.

Upon his appointment, Martin was regarded as the ideal replacement for Steve Cooper, but he heads into this contest aware that he requires a high-level performance from his players to help convince supporters that he should remain in the dugout in the long term.

At a time when Blackburn have the sixth best away record in the division, Swansea possess the fifth-worst home return, collecting just 13 points from 14 games on familiar territory.

Swansea City Championship form:
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • L

Swansea City form (all competitions):
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • L

Blackburn Rovers Championship form:
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • D

Blackburn Rovers form (all competitions):
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • D



Team News

Swansea City's Joel Piroe celebrates scoring their first goal on January 8, 2022© Reuters

With Kyle Naughton expected to sit out this match through injury, Ryan Manning is likely to drop back into Swansea's defensive three.

Joel Latibeaudiere appears most likely to deputise at left wing-back, while Joel Piroe may return in place of Michael Obafemi.

Given the lack of time between travelling back from South America and this game, Brereton Diaz is unlikely to be considered for a spot in the Blackburn XI.

Sam Gallagher will miss this contest after coughing up blood during the Luton game, leaving Mowbray to hope that Reda Khadra recovers from a hamstring injury.

Giles will almost certainly be handed his debut as a replacement for left wing-back Tayo Edun, who is carrying an ankle problem, while Ryan Hedges is available after joining from Aberdeen.

Swansea City possible starting lineup:
Fisher; Cabango, Bennett, Manning; Christie, Grimes, Downes, Latibeaudiere; Ntcham, Wolf; Piroe

Blackburn Rovers possible starting lineup:
Kaminski; Van Hecke, Lenihan, Wharton; Nyambe, Travis, Johnson, Giles; Buckley; Zeefuik, Khadra


SM words green background

We say: Swansea City 1-2 Blackburn Rovers

Martin is aware that he requires a performance out of his side if the pressure on his shoulders is to ease in the short term. However, we can only back the away team to prevail from this contest, albeit in a close game where they may have to rely on a late goal.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 2.5:data



ID:477076:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect9576:
Written by
Darren Plant

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 42.07%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 29.14% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.36%) and 2-1 (8.14%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 0-1 (10.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Swansea City in this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Swansea vs Blackburn

Swansea City
16.2%
Draw
16.2%
Blackburn Rovers
67.6%
74
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Swansea City manager Russell Martin pictured on August 28, 2021
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