We said: Atletico Goianiense 2-0 Juventude
With home advantage against a side struggling to keep the back door shut, Atletico are well-placed to register another three points this weekend, while prolonging Juve's misery.
Despite a recent reshuffle in attack, the visitors have also been lightweight up front this term, so may not even trouble the scorers.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Goianiense win with a probability of 59.17%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 16.47%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Goianiense win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.54%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for a Juventude win it was 0-1 (6.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Goianiense would win this match.
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