While not without faults this season, Corinthians have enjoyed the best start of any Serie A side in Brazil. Expect Corinthians to bounce back from recent defeat with a comfortable home victory over Juventude this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 60.68%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 14.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.47%) and 2-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a Juventude win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.

Result
Corinthians	Draw	Juventude
60.68% ( 0.05)	24.45% ( 0.12)	14.86% ( -0.17)

Both teams to score 38.6% (

-0.61)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.76% (

-0.62)

60.24% (

0.63)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.58% (

-0.48)

80.42% (

0.48)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.21% (

-0.22)

19.79% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.14% (

-0.36)

51.85% (

0.37)

Juventude Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.12% (

-0.63)

51.87% (

0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.08% (

-0.42)

85.92% (

0.42)

Score Analysis

Corinthians 60.68%

Juventude 14.86%

Draw 24.44%

Corinthians	Draw	Juventude
1-0 @ 16.63% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 13.47% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 8.84% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.77% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 2.95% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.3% Total : 60.68%	1-1 @ 10.91% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.26% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.37% Total : 24.44%	0-1 @ 6.74% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 3.58% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.33% Total : 14.86%