Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 59.45%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 17.37%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.62%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.