Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 70.63%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Sport Recife had a probability of 10.49%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.59%) and 3-0 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.85%), while for a Sport Recife win it was 0-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
