MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 14:14:20| >> :300:86500:86500:
Athletico Paranaense
Brasileiro | Gameweek 19
Nov 16, 2024 at 9.30pm UK
Arena de Baixada
Atletico Mineiro

Athletico PR
1 - 0
Atletico Mineiro

Cuello (28')
Pablo (18'), Nikao (59')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Scarpa (27'), Lyanco (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Brasileiro clash between Athletico Paranaense and Atletico Mineiro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sao Paulo 2-1 Athletico PR
Sunday, November 10 at 12am in Brasileiro

We said: Athletico Paranaense 1-1 Atletico Mineiro

Atletico seem to be looking ahead to the Libertadores final, and even though we believe they have the superior team, Paraense may benefit from having a few extra days of rest and claim a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 47.37%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 25.89%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.17%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for an Atletico Mineiro win it was 0-1 (8.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Athletico Paranaense in this match.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawAtletico Mineiro
47.37% (-0.273 -0.27) 26.74% (0.314 0.31) 25.89% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04)
Both teams to score 47.53% (-0.925 -0.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.28% (-1.178 -1.18)56.71% (1.178 1.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.33% (-0.956 -0.96)77.67% (0.956 0.96)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.04% (-0.63900000000001 -0.64)23.96% (0.639 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.8% (-0.922 -0.92)58.2% (0.922 0.92)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.51% (-0.683 -0.68)37.49% (0.684 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.72% (-0.679 -0.68)74.27% (0.679 0.68)
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 47.37%
    Atletico Mineiro 25.89%
    Draw 26.74%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawAtletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 12.83% (0.34 0.34)
2-0 @ 9.17% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
2-1 @ 9% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-0 @ 4.37% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.28% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.103 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.56% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.53% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 47.37%
1-1 @ 12.59% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 8.98% (0.398 0.4)
2-2 @ 4.41% (-0.131 -0.13)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 26.74%
0-1 @ 8.81% (0.234 0.23)
1-2 @ 6.18% (-0.065 -0.07)
0-2 @ 4.32% (0.035 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.02% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.44% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.41% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 25.89%

How you voted: Athletico PR vs Atletico Mineiro

Athletico Paranaense
52.9%
Draw
23.5%
Atletico Mineiro
23.5%
17
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 22
Athletico PR
1-1
Atletico Mineiro
Roque (78')
Fernandinho (27'), Roque (29')
Fernandinho (82')
Paulinho (6')
Everson (59'), Hulk (74'), Jemerson (90+5')
May 23, 2023 11pm
Group Stage
Atletico Mineiro
2-1
Athletico PR
Paulinho (68', 87')
Battaglia (5'), Mariano (22'), Pavon (39'), Paulinho (88')
Santana (51')
Heleno (53'), Pablo (70'), Terans (74'), Canobbio (86'), Madson (86')
Apr 30, 2023 1am
Gameweek 3
Atletico Mineiro
2-1
Athletico PR
Hulk (10', 84')
Roque (90+2')
Apr 19, 2023 1am
Group Stage
Athletico PR
2-1
Atletico Mineiro
Roque (7'), Terans (35' pen.)
Paulinho (70')
Aug 7, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 21
Atletico Mineiro
2-3
Athletico PR
Rabello (30'), Pavon (54')
Rodrigues de Souza (36')
Roque (46', 56'), Canobbio (90+6')
Pedrinho (51'), Canobbio (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo382310559293079
2PalmeirasPalmeiras38227960332773
3FlamengoFlamengo382010861421970
4FortalezaFortaleza381911853391468
5InternacionalInternacional381811953361765
6Sao Paulo381781353431059
7Corinthians381511125445956
8Bahia38158154949053
9Cruzeiro381410144341252
10Vasco da GamaVasco38148164356-1350
11Vitoria38138174552-747
12Atletico Mineiro381114134754-747
13Fluminense381210163339-646
14Gremio38129174450-645
15JuventudeJuventude381112154859-1145
16BragantinoBragantino381014144448-444
17Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR38119184046-642
18CriciumaCriciuma38911184261-1938
19Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3879222958-2930
20Cuiaba38612202949-2030


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