Brasileiro | Gameweek 7
May 4, 2025 at 1am UK
Arena Fonte Nova
Bahia1 - 0Botafogo
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Bahia and Botafogo.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 57.52%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 17.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.49%) and 2-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (7.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bahia in this match.
| Result | ||
| Bahia | Draw | Botafogo |
57.52% ( -0.38) | 25.42% ( 0.04) | 17.06% ( 0.34) |
| Both teams to score 40.29% ( 0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.62% ( 0.29) | 60.38% ( -0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.47% ( 0.22) | 80.52% ( -0.22) |
| Bahia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.9% ( -0.04) | 21.09% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.07% ( -0.05) | 53.92% ( 0.05) |
| Botafogo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.06% ( 0.62) | 48.93% ( -0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 16.09% ( 0.44) | 83.91% ( -0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
Bahia 57.51%
Botafogo 17.06%
Draw 25.41%
| Bahia | Draw | Botafogo |
| 1-0 @ 16.06% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 12.49% ( -0.17)2-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 6.48% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 4.63% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.52% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.8% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.93% Total : 57.51% | 1-1 @ 11.48% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 10.32% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 3.19% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.42% Total : 25.41% | 0-1 @ 7.38% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.96% Total : 17.06% |
Head to Head
Jul 31, 2024 1.30am
Form Guide
