
Brasileiro | Gameweek 4
Apr 18, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto

Cruzeiro3 - 0Bahia
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Cruzeiro and Bahia.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 42.27%. A win for Bahia had a probability of 30.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Bahia win was 0-1 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruzeiro would win this match.
Result | ||
Cruzeiro | Draw | Bahia |
42.27% (![]() | 26.74% (![]() | 30.99% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.6% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.74% (![]() | 54.26% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.34% (![]() | 75.66% (![]() |
Cruzeiro Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.62% (![]() | 25.38% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.81% (![]() | 60.19% (![]() |
Bahia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.82% (![]() | 32.19% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.33% (![]() | 68.67% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Cruzeiro 42.26%
Bahia 30.99%
Draw 26.73%
Cruzeiro | Draw | Bahia |
1-0 @ 11.2% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.71% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.68% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.98% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.51% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.26% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.36% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.2% ( ![]() Other @ 2.37% Total : 42.26% | 1-1 @ 12.69% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.17% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.93% ( ![]() Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.73% | 0-1 @ 9.26% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.2% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.25% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.72% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.98% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.87% ( ![]() Other @ 2.71% Total : 30.99% |