Brasileiro | Gameweek 6
May 12, 2024 at 10.30pm UK
Arena Fonte Nova
Bahia1 - 0Bragantino
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Bahia and Bragantino.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Botafogo 1-2 Bahia
Sunday, May 5 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, May 5 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bragantino 2-1 Racing
Friday, May 10 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Friday, May 10 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 54.25%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Bragantino had a probability of 21.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Bragantino win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bahia in this match.
| Result | ||
| Bahia | Draw | Bragantino |
54.25% ( 0.42) | 24% ( 0.08) | 21.74% ( -0.5) |
| Both teams to score 51.14% ( -0.92) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.23% ( -0.9) | 49.77% ( 0.9) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.22% ( -0.81) | 71.78% ( 0.81) |
| Bahia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.75% ( -0.18) | 18.25% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.71% ( -0.31) | 49.29% ( 0.31) |
| Bragantino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.55% ( -0.99) | 37.45% ( 0.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.77% ( -0.99) | 74.23% ( 0.99) |
| Score Analysis |
Bahia 54.25%
Bragantino 21.74%
Draw 24%
| Bahia | Draw | Bragantino |
| 1-0 @ 11.62% ( 0.35) 2-0 @ 9.89% ( 0.25)2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 2.38% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.34% Total : 54.25% | 1-1 @ 11.41% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.25)2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.98% Total : 24% | 0-1 @ 6.71% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.65% Total : 21.74% |
Form Guide
