Bragantino

2 - 1

Vasco

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 51%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 23.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bragantino would win this match.