Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 49.33%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Ceara had a probability of 23.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for a Ceara win it was 0-1 (8.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.