MX23RW : Sunday, September 29 19:01:15| >> :300:86500:86500:
Bahia
Brasileiro | Gameweek 16
Jul 22, 2023 at 10.30pm UK
Arena Fonte Nova
Corinthians

Bahia
0 - 0
Corinthians


Kanu (86'), Yago (90+6'), Ademir (90+2')
FT

Gil (90+3'), Murillo (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Brasileiro clash between Bahia and Corinthians, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Athletico PR 2-0 Bahia
Sunday, July 16 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Universitario 1-2 Corinthians
Wednesday, July 19 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

We said: Bahia 1-1 Corinthians

These teams are near the bottom of the standings for a reason, as neither have been able to put their opportunities away consistently. Although Bahia will have a few extra days to rest, Corinthians have reacted well when faced with a setback lately and we believe they will again come Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 45.15%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 26.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.23%) and 2-1 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.02%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
BahiaDrawCorinthians
45.15% (-1.802 -1.8) 28.58% (0.738 0.74) 26.26% (1.064 1.06)
Both teams to score 42.93% (-1.082 -1.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.27% (-1.78 -1.78)62.73% (1.781 1.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.73% (-1.314 -1.31)82.27% (1.315 1.32)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.19% (-1.753 -1.75)27.81% (1.753 1.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.6% (-2.297 -2.3)63.4% (2.297 2.3)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.47% (-0.055 -0.05)40.53% (0.056000000000004 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.87% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)77.13% (0.049000000000007 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Bahia 45.15%
    Corinthians 26.25%
    Draw 28.58%
BahiaDrawCorinthians
1-0 @ 14.42% (0.24 0.24)
2-0 @ 9.23% (-0.307 -0.31)
2-1 @ 8.34% (-0.291 -0.29)
3-0 @ 3.94% (-0.338 -0.34)
3-1 @ 3.56% (-0.312 -0.31)
3-2 @ 1.61% (-0.143 -0.14)
4-0 @ 1.26% (-0.178 -0.18)
4-1 @ 1.14% (-0.162 -0.16)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 45.15%
1-1 @ 13.02% (0.2 0.2)
0-0 @ 11.27% (0.73 0.73)
2-2 @ 3.77% (-0.137 -0.14)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 28.58%
0-1 @ 10.17% (0.631 0.63)
1-2 @ 5.88% (0.08 0.08)
0-2 @ 4.6% (0.283 0.28)
1-3 @ 1.77% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.38% (0.083 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.13% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 1.31%
Total : 26.25%

How you voted: Bahia vs Corinthians

Bahia
42.3%
Draw
26.9%
Corinthians
30.8%
26
Head to Head
Oct 6, 2021 1.30am
Gameweek 24
Corinthians
3-1
Bahia
Guedes (45+4' pen.), Cantillo (52'), Jo (70')
Gilberto (33' pen.)
Araujo (42')
Araujo (45+1')
Jun 20, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 5
Bahia
0-0
Corinthians
Bahia (62')
Roni (35'), Gabriel (61'), Ramiro (75')
Jan 28, 2021 10pm
Gameweek 30
Bahia
2-1
Corinthians
Gilberto (31'), Pablo Ramirez (45+4')
Gregore (27'), Pablo Ramirez (35'), Ramon (86')
Gabriel (71')
Jo (11')
Sep 17, 2020 1.30am
Gameweek 11
Corinthians
3-2
Bahia
Otero (17'), Roni (34'), Gil (61')
Fagner (9'), Araos (13'), Xavier (90+7')
Paraiba (36'), Saldanha (89')
Ronaldo (44'), Paraiba (59')
Sep 21, 2019 11pm
Gameweek 20
Corinthians
2-1
Bahia
Love (44' pen.), Clayson (75')
Clayson (45'), Love (89')
Gilberto (64' pen.)
Paraiba (41'), Fonseca (53'), Artur (53'), Flavio (73')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo28176546252157
2PalmeirasPalmeiras28175646202656
3FortalezaFortaleza27157536261052
4FlamengoFlamengo26136742321045
5Sao Paulo2713593529644
6Bahia2712693831742
7Cruzeiro2712693427742
8InternacionalInternacional2611963223942
9Atletico Mineiro269983638-236
10Vasco da GamaVasco26105113036-635
11BragantinoBragantino2889113438-433
12JuventudeJuventude2889113238-633
13Gremio2795132934-532
14CriciumaCriciuma2788113441-732
15Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR2587102729-231
16Vitoria2784152939-1028
17Corinthians27610112633-728
18Fluminense2676132129-827
19Cuiaba2658132338-1523
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO2746172145-2418


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