MX23RW : Saturday, April 26 09:39:23| >> :60:784:784:
America Mineiro
Copa do Brasil | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Jul 6, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Centro de Treinamento Flavio Pentagna Guimaraes
Corinthians

America Mineiro
1 - 0
Corinthians

Juninho (31')
Marlon (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Adson (31'), Moscardo (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa do Brasil clash between America Mineiro and Corinthians, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: America Mineiro 1-0 Corinthians

Given that off-form Corinthians have managed to win just four of their last 17 matches in all competitions, we expect America Mineiro to notch a narrow first-leg advantage on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 49.69%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 23.76%.

The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (8.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for America Mineiro in this match.

Result
America MineiroDrawCorinthians
49.69% (-0.0040000000000049 -0) 26.55% (0.0019999999999989 0) 23.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 46.15% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)57.54% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.68% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)78.32% (0.0020000000000095 0)
America Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)23.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.84% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)57.16% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)39.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.46% (0.0010000000000012 0)76.54% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Score Analysis
    America Mineiro 49.69%
    Corinthians 23.76%
    Draw 26.55%
America MineiroDrawCorinthians
1-0 @ 13.52%
2-0 @ 9.87% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-1 @ 9.07%
3-0 @ 4.8% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.41%
3-2 @ 2.03%
4-0 @ 1.75% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 49.69%
1-1 @ 12.43%
0-0 @ 9.27%
2-2 @ 4.17%
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 26.55%
0-1 @ 8.52% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 5.72% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 3.92% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 1.75%
2-3 @ 1.28%
0-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 23.76%

How you voted: America Mineiro vs Corinthians

America Mineiro
Draw
Corinthians
America Mineiro
67.9%
Draw
21.4%
Corinthians
10.7%
28
Head to Head
Jun 3, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 9
America Mineiro
2-0
Corinthians
Avelar (74' pen.), Marques (87')
Juninho (84')
Sep 18, 2022 10pm
May 29, 2022 10pm
Gameweek 8
Corinthians
1-1
America Mineiro
Silva (82')
Maycon (57'), Gil (85')
Aloisio (67')
Gustavinho (13')
Sep 19, 2021 10.15pm
Gameweek 21
Corinthians
1-1
America Mineiro
Giuliano (17')
Gabriel (90+5')
Matheus Lopes do Nascimento (7')
Jun 6, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 2
America Mineiro
0-1
Corinthians

Lisca (7'), Eduardo (43'), Ribamar (90+3')
Santos (29' pen.)
Araos (86'), Gabriel (90+2'), Camacho (90+6')
rhs 2.0
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