Copa Sudamericana | Round of 32 | 2nd Leg
Jul 19, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Monumental
Universitario1 - 2Corinthians
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Corinthians 1-0 Universitario
Wednesday, July 12 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Wednesday, July 12 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Corinthians 3-2 America Mineiro (0-0 pen.)
Saturday, July 15 at 8.30pm in Copa do Brasil
Saturday, July 15 at 8.30pm in Copa do Brasil
Goals
for
for
12
We said: Universitario 0-0 Corinthians (Corinthians win 1-0 on aggregate)
The Peruvians have shown they can keep pace with an experienced group like Corinthians, and Los Merengues should feel comfortable given their current home form, but we have a hard time seeing them create much when in possession. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universitario win with a probability of 62.51%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 13.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Universitario win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.89%) and 2-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Universitario | Draw | Corinthians |
62.51% ( -0.03) | 23.68% ( 0.01) | 13.82% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 38.25% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
