Brasileiro | Gameweek 4
May 7, 2023 at 8pm UK
Arena Fonte Nova
Bahia3 - 1Coritiba
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Bahia and Coritiba.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Vasco 0-1 Bahia
Tuesday, May 2 at 12am in Brasileiro
Tuesday, May 2 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Coritiba 1-1 Sao Paulo
Saturday, April 29 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, April 29 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 57.67%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 19.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bahia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bahia | Draw | Coritiba |
57.67% ( -0.24) | 23.3% ( 0.1) | 19.03% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 49.23% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.76% ( -0.2) | 50.24% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.8% ( -0.18) | 72.19% ( 0.18) |
| Bahia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.82% ( -0.16) | 17.17% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.57% ( -0.28) | 47.43% ( 0.28) |
| Coritiba Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.44% ( 0.04) | 40.56% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.84% ( 0.04) | 77.16% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
Bahia 57.66%
Coritiba 19.03%
Draw 23.3%
| Bahia | Draw | Coritiba |
| 1-0 @ 12.27% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 10.81% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.35% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 5.73% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.8% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.72% Total : 57.66% | 1-1 @ 11.07% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 4.4% Other @ 0.86% Total : 23.3% | 0-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.32% ( 0)Other @ 2.09% Total : 19.03% |
Head to Head
Nov 16, 2020 9pm
Aug 13, 2020 12.30am
