Bahia

3 - 1

Coritiba

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 57.67%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 19.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bahia would win this match.