Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 52.28%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 23.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.65%) and 1-2 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a Bahia win it was 1-0 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.
