Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 27, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Arena Fonte Nova
Bahia5 - 0Guabira
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Bahia and Guabira.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for Guabira had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.32%) and 2-0 (5.41%). The likeliest Guabira win was 1-2 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bahia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bahia | Draw | Guabira |
| 41.17% | 22.97% | 35.85% |
| Both teams to score 65.21% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
