Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 40.66%. A win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 36.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.54%) and 2-0 (5.48%). The likeliest Montevideo City Torque win was 1-2 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.