Brasileiro | Gameweek 22
Aug 11, 2024 at 8pm UK
Arena Fonte Nova
Bahia2 - 0Vitoria
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Bahia and Vitoria.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 64.58%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Vitoria had a probability of 14.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.47%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Vitoria win it was 0-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bahia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bahia | Draw | Vitoria |
64.58% ( -1.15) | 21.14% ( 0.64) | 14.27% ( 0.5) |
| Both teams to score 46% ( -0.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.62% ( -1.6) | 49.37% ( 1.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.58% ( -1.46) | 71.42% ( 1.46) |
| Bahia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.43% ( -0.86) | 14.57% ( 0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.37% ( -1.69) | 42.63% ( 1.68) |
| Vitoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.84% ( -0.23) | 46.15% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 18.15% ( -0.18) | 81.84% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
Bahia 64.58%
Vitoria 14.27%
Draw 21.14%
| Bahia | Draw | Vitoria |
| 1-0 @ 12.95% ( 0.44) 2-0 @ 12.47% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 8.01% ( -0.22)3-1 @ 6.19% ( -0.21)4-0 @ 3.86% ( -0.23)4-1 @ 2.98% ( -0.2)3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.1)5-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.14)4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.09)5-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.28% Total : 64.58% | 1-1 @ 10.01% ( 0.28) 0-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.43)2-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.68% Total : 21.14% | 0-1 @ 5.2% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 3.87% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 1% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.23% Total : 14.27% |
How you voted: Bahia vs Vitoria
Bahia
100%Draw
0.0%Vitoria
0.0%10
