Brasileiro | Gameweek 26
Dec 20, 2020 at 11.30pm UK
Castelao
Fortaleza0 - 2Ceara
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Fortaleza and Ceara.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 36.82%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 34.4% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.65%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 1-0 (11.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ceara would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortaleza | Draw | Ceara |
| 34.4% | 28.77% | 36.82% |
| Both teams to score 45.48% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.93% | 61.06% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.96% | 81.04% |
| Fortaleza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.65% | 33.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.03% | 69.96% |
| Ceara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.23% | 31.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.8% | 68.19% |
| Score Analysis |
Fortaleza 34.4%
Ceara 36.82%
Draw 28.77%
| Fortaleza | Draw | Ceara |
| 1-0 @ 11.63% 2-1 @ 7.33% 2-0 @ 6.39% 3-1 @ 2.68% 3-0 @ 2.34% 3-2 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.5% Total : 34.4% | 1-1 @ 13.34% 0-0 @ 10.59% 2-2 @ 4.2% Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.77% | 0-1 @ 12.14% 1-2 @ 7.65% 0-2 @ 6.97% 1-3 @ 2.92% 0-3 @ 2.66% 2-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.87% Total : 36.82% |
