Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 55.35%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 19.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.97%) and 1-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Corinthians win it was 1-0 (7.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.