Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 62.61%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Chapecoense had a probability of 17.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 1-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.34%), while for a Chapecoense win it was 1-2 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Flamengo in this match.