Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coritiba win with a probability of 36%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coritiba win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.56%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 0-1 (11.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.