Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 70.15%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 12.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 1-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.14%), while for a Fluminense win it was 1-2 (3.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.