Brasileiro | Gameweek 9
Jun 16, 2024 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Heriberto Hulse
Criciuma2 - 2Bahia
We said: Criciuma 0-2 Bahia
Bahia have continuously been able to grind out victories and come up with something special at pivotal moments, and that could be what separates these two sides on Sunday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 38.16%. A win for Criciuma had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Criciuma win was 1-0 (9.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Criciuma | Draw | Bahia |
35.01% ( -0.33) | 26.84% ( 0.05) | 38.16% ( 0.28) |
| Both teams to score 51.36% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.23% ( -0.22) | 53.77% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.76% ( -0.18) | 75.24% ( 0.18) |
| Criciuma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.73% ( -0.31) | 29.26% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.77% ( -0.38) | 65.23% ( 0.38) |
| Bahia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.61% ( 0.06) | 27.39% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.15% ( 0.08) | 62.85% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
Criciuma 35.01%
Bahia 38.15%
Draw 26.83%
| Criciuma | Draw | Bahia |
| 1-0 @ 9.85% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 6.05% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.52% Total : 35.01% | 1-1 @ 12.75% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.83% | 0-1 @ 10.37% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 8.26% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 6.72% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 3.57% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.04% Total : 38.15% |
How you voted: Criciuma vs Bahia
Criciuma
13.3%Draw
6.7%Bahia
80.0%15
