Brasileiro | Gameweek 30
Oct 19, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
Cruzeiro1 - 1Bahia
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Cruzeiro and Bahia.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 53.48%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 21.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cruzeiro | Draw | Bahia |
53.48% ( -0.38) | 25.33% ( 0.03) | 21.18% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 46.56% ( 0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.54% ( 0.25) | 55.46% ( -0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.35% ( 0.2) | 76.65% ( -0.2) |
| Cruzeiro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.24% ( -0.06) | 20.75% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.61% ( -0.09) | 53.39% ( 0.09) |
| Bahia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.75% ( 0.51) | 41.25% ( -0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.22% ( 0.45) | 77.77% ( -0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
Cruzeiro 53.48%
Bahia 21.18%
Draw 25.33%
| Cruzeiro | Draw | Bahia |
| 1-0 @ 13.46% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 10.58% ( -0.14)2-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 4.91% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.18% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.93% ( -0)Other @ 3.32% Total : 53.48% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 4.15% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.7% Total : 25.33% | 0-1 @ 7.58% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.19% Total : 21.18% |
