Brasileiro | Gameweek 27

Oct 19, 2023 at 11pm UK

Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto

Cruzeiro
0 - 2
Flamengo

Palacios (38'), Wesley (68'), Wesley (70')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Lucas (39'), Pedro (44' pen.)
Maia (3'), Rossi (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Brasileiro clash between Cruzeiro and Flamengo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cruzeiro

All competitions

Last Game: Cuiaba 0-0 Cruzeiro
Sunday, October 15 at 1am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Flamengo

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Corinthians 1-1 Flamengo
Sunday, October 8 at 1am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Cruzeiro 0-1 Flamengo

Even with the possibility of the new manager bounce coming into effect for Flamengo, international call-ups have left Tite short of goal threats in midfield, and Cruzeiro are hardly ever breached at will on their own turf. However, the hosts have been lacking a clinical edge in front of the home crowd all season long, and Flamengo's defence should have no trouble containing the shot-shy Cruzeiro attack while nicking a goal or two at the other end to begin the Tite era in positive fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 37.05%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 36.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 0-1 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
Cruzeiro	Draw	Flamengo
37.05% ( -0)	26.66% ( 0.3)	36.28% ( -0.3)

Both teams to score 52% (

-1.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47% (

-1.27)

52.99% (

1.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.41% (

-1.09)

74.59% (

1.09)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.34% (

-0.61)

27.65% (

0.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.8% (

-0.79)

63.2% (

0.78)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.88% (

-0.79)

28.11% (

0.78)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.21% (

-1.01)

63.78% (

1.01)

Score Analysis

Cruzeiro 37.05%

Flamengo 36.28%

Draw 26.66%

Cruzeiro	Draw	Flamengo
1-0 @ 9.99% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 3.49% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 2.75% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.91% Total : 37.05%	1-1 @ 12.68% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.38) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.66%	0-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 8.05% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.79% Total : 36.28%