Copa do Brasil | Final | 1st Leg
Sep 17, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
Flamengo0 - 1Sao Paulo
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Final clash between Flamengo and Sao Paulo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Flamengo 0-3 Athletico PR
Thursday, September 14 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Thursday, September 14 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Internacional 2-1 Sao Paulo
Thursday, September 14 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Thursday, September 14 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 51.45%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 24.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Flamengo | Draw | Sao Paulo |
51.45% ( 0.55) | 24.42% ( -0.29) | 24.13% ( -0.26) |
Both teams to score 52.74% ( 0.63) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.93% ( 0.97) | 49.06% ( -0.97) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.85% ( 0.87) | 71.14% ( -0.87) |
Flamengo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.94% ( 0.6) | 19.06% ( -0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.34% ( 0.98) | 50.65% ( -0.99) |
Sao Paulo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.16% ( 0.3) | 34.83% ( -0.3) |