Brasileiro | Gameweek 11
Jun 21, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
Cruzeiro0 - 1Fortaleza
We said: Cruzeiro 1-1 Fortaleza
Neither side have been particularly impressive in recent weeks, and while they will likely go all out to bag a much-needed win, we can see them cancelling each other out in a low-scoring draw. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 45.38%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 27.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cruzeiro | Draw | Fortaleza |
45.38% ( -11.43) | 26.67% ( 2.14) | 27.95% ( 9.28) |
| Both teams to score 49.21% ( 4.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
