Brasileiro | Gameweek 5
May 11, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto
Cruzeiro0 - 2Fluminense
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Cruzeiro and Fluminense.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cruzeiro 2-1 Santos
Saturday, May 6 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, May 6 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 1-1 Vasco
Sunday, May 7 at 1am in Brasileiro
Sunday, May 7 at 1am in Brasileiro
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 43.33%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 30.64% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 0-1 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cruzeiro | Draw | Fluminense |
43.33% ( -0.16) | 26.02% ( -0.03) | 30.64% ( 0.19) |
Both teams to score 52.69% ( 0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.5% ( 0.2) | 51.5% ( -0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.69% ( 0.17) | 73.3% ( -0.17) |
Cruzeiro Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.38% ( 0.01) | 23.62% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.29% ( 0.01) | 57.71% ( -0.01) |
Fluminense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.98% ( 0.23) | 31.02% ( -0.23) |