Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 47.26%. A win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 28.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Cruzeiro win was 1-2 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
America Mineiro	Draw	Cruzeiro
47.26% ( -0.15)	24.22% ( 0.02)	28.53% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 57.36% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.18% (

-0.01)

44.82% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.82% (

-0.01)

67.18% (

0.02)

America Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.91% (

-0.06)

19.09% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.3% (

-0.11)

50.7% (

0.12)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.89% (

0.08)

29.11% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.97% (

0.11)

65.03% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

America Mineiro 47.26%

Cruzeiro 28.53%

Draw 24.21%

America Mineiro	Draw	Cruzeiro
2-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.2% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.62% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.19% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.21% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.2% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0) Other @ 3.22% Total : 47.26%	1-1 @ 11.35% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.56% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.21%	1-2 @ 7.01% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.86% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.42% Total : 28.53%