Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Cuiaba had a probability of 31.77% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.11%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Cuiaba win was 1-0 (10.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
