Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 44.33%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Metropolitanos had a probability of 26.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.02%) and 1-2 (8.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.09%), while for a Metropolitanos win it was 1-0 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cuiaba would win this match.

Result
Metropolitanos	Draw	Cuiaba
26.94% ( -0.01)	28.73% ( -0.04)	44.33% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 43% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.13% (

0.12)

62.86% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.63% (

0.09)

82.37% (

-0.09)

Metropolitanos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.99% (

0.06)

40.01% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.34% (

0.06)

76.66% (

-0.06)

Cuiaba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.68% (

0.08)

28.31% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.96% (

0.1)

64.04% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Metropolitanos 26.93%

Cuiaba 44.32%

Draw 28.72%

Metropolitanos	Draw	Cuiaba
1-0 @ 10.37% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 6% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.75% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.83% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.45% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.38% Total : 26.93%	1-1 @ 13.09% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.32% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 3.78% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.52% Total : 28.72%	0-1 @ 14.29% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 9.02% 1-2 @ 8.26% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.79% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.48% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.6% Total : 44.32%