Brasileiro | Gameweek 1
Apr 14, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Vasco2 - 1Gremio
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Vasco da Gama and Gremio.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Vasco 2-1 Bragantino
Thursday, December 7 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Thursday, December 7 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 51.68%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Gremio had a probability of 24.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Gremio win it was 0-1 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vasco da Gama would win this match.
Result | ||
Vasco da Gama | Draw | Gremio |
51.68% ( -0.19) | 24.23% ( -0.03) | 24.09% ( 0.22) |
Both teams to score 53.29% ( 0.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.68% ( 0.35) | 48.32% ( -0.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.53% ( 0.32) | 70.46% ( -0.32) |
Vasco da Gama Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.31% ( 0.06) | 18.68% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.97% ( 0.1) | 50.03% ( -0.1) |
Gremio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.53% ( 0.39) | 34.46% ( -0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.82% ( 0.41) | 71.18% ( -0.41) |
Score Analysis |
Vasco da Gama 51.68%
Gremio 24.09%
Draw 24.22%
Vasco da Gama | Draw | Gremio |
1-0 @ 10.8% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.06% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 5.4% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.26% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.24% Total : 51.68% | 1-1 @ 11.5% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.44% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.22% | 0-1 @ 6.86% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.15% Total : 24.09% |
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2023 8pm