MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 15:05:16| >> :300:86500:86500:
Vasco da Gama
Brasileiro | Gameweek 1
Apr 14, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Gremio

Vasco
2 - 1
Gremio

David (24'), Carvalho (37')
Rossi (17'), Diaz (45+1'), Sforza (65'), Victor (90+6'), Piton (90+8')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Martins (68')
Pele (90+1')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Vasco da Gama and Gremio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vasco 2-1 Bragantino
Thursday, December 7 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Gremio 0-2 Huachipato
Tuesday, April 9 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 51.68%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Gremio had a probability of 24.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Gremio win it was 0-1 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vasco da Gama would win this match.

Result
Vasco da GamaDrawGremio
51.68% (-0.191 -0.19) 24.23% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 24.09% (0.224 0.22)
Both teams to score 53.29% (0.351 0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.68% (0.34699999999999 0.35)48.32% (-0.347 -0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.53% (0.317 0.32)70.46% (-0.316 -0.32)
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.31% (0.057000000000002 0.06)18.68% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.97% (0.098999999999997 0.1)50.03% (-0.1 -0.1)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.53% (0.386 0.39)34.46% (-0.386 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.82% (0.41 0.41)71.18% (-0.411 -0.41)
Score Analysis
    Vasco da Gama 51.68%
    Gremio 24.09%
    Draw 24.22%
Vasco da GamaDrawGremio
1-0 @ 10.8% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-1 @ 9.65% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 9.06% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-1 @ 5.4% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.07% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.87% (0.035 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.26% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.13% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.21% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 51.68%
1-1 @ 11.5% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.44% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.14% (0.054 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.22%
0-1 @ 6.86% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.13% (0.053 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.65% (0.025 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.18% (0.041 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.83% (0.038 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.3% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 24.09%

Head to Head
Dec 3, 2023 9.30pm
Gameweek 37
Gremio
1-0
Vasco
Suarez (46')
Alves (45+5'), Martins (48'), Nathan (90+2')

Gomes (75')
Aug 6, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 18
Vasco
1-0
Gremio
Vegetti (80')
Praxedes (47')

Reinaldo (45')
Dec 6, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 24
Gremio
4-0
Vasco
Souza (41', 53'), Pinares (55'), Silva (90+2' pen.)
Souza (58'), Silva (88')

Matos (62')
Aug 23, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 5
Vasco
0-0
Gremio
Henrique (13'), Benitez (37'), Tenorio (74'), Andrey (86'), Ribamar (90')
Henrique (45+2'), Thaciano (81')
Oct 31, 2019 12.30am
Gameweek 29
Vasco
1-3
Gremio
Guarin (10')
Marrony (12'), Castan (67')
Pepe (33'), Everton (54'), Luciano (68' pen.)
Michel (27'), Cortez (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
6pm
Lions
@
Bears
6pm
Browns
@
Bengals
6pm
Patriots
@
Bills
6pm
Titans
@
Colts
6pm
Giants
@
Falcons
6pm
Rams
@
Jets
6pm
Cardinals
@
Panthers
6pm
Eagles
@
Washington
9.05pm
Vikings
@
Seahawks
9.25pm
49ers
@
Dolphins
9.25pm
Jags
@
Raiders
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo382310559293079
2PalmeirasPalmeiras38227960332773
3FlamengoFlamengo382010861421970
4FortalezaFortaleza381911853391468
5InternacionalInternacional381811953361765
6Sao Paulo381781353431059
7Corinthians381511125445956
8Bahia38158154949053
9Cruzeiro381410144341252
10Vasco da GamaVasco38148164356-1350
11Vitoria38138174552-747
12Atletico Mineiro381114134754-747
13Fluminense381210163339-646
14Gremio38129174450-645
15JuventudeJuventude381112154859-1145
16BragantinoBragantino381014144448-444
17Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR38119184046-642
18CriciumaCriciuma38911184261-1938
19Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3879222958-2930
20Cuiaba38612202949-2030


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!