MX23RW : Sunday, September 29 19:14:50| >> :300:86500:86500:
Gremio
Brasileiro | Gameweek 13
Jun 30, 2024 at 8pm UK
Arena do Gremio
Fluminense

Gremio
1 - 0
Fluminense

Nunes (61')
Geromel (36'), Moreira (55')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Cano (39'), Fanc Lucumii Gonzalez (52')
Fanc Lucumii Gonzalez (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Gremio and Fluminense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atletico GO 1-1 Gremio
Thursday, June 27 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 0-1 Vitoria
Thursday, June 27 at 11pm in Brasileiro

We said: Gremio 1-0 Fluminense

This one is difficult to call due to both sides' mediocre starts to the new campaign. However, the smart bet is on Gremio to record their seventh straight win over Fluminense, having outscored the visitors 9-3 in the previous six encounters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 49.01%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.54%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (8.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gremio in this match.

Result
GremioDrawFluminense
49.01% (-0.293 -0.29) 26.4% (0.053999999999998 0.05) 24.6% (0.24 0.24)
Both teams to score 47.37% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.64% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)56.36% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.62% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)77.39% (0.015999999999991 0.02)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.94% (-0.139 -0.14)23.06% (0.142 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.11% (-0.206 -0.21)56.89% (0.209 0.21)
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.56% (0.212 0.21)38.44% (-0.20800000000001 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.81% (0.2 0.2)75.19% (-0.197 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Gremio 49%
    Fluminense 24.6%
    Draw 26.4%
GremioDrawFluminense
1-0 @ 13% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 9.54% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.12% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.67% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.46% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.71% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.64% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 49%
1-1 @ 12.43% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.86% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.36% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 26.4%
0-1 @ 8.47% (0.054 0.05)
1-2 @ 5.94% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.05% (0.049 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.89% (0.025 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.39% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.29% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 24.6%

How you voted: Gremio vs Fluminense

Gremio
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Fluminense
20.0%
15
Head to Head
Dec 7, 2023 12.30am
Gameweek 38
Fluminense
2-3
Gremio
Arias (34' pen.), Kennedy (81')
Andre (36'), Nino (45+5'), Kennedy (72')
Suarez (43', 64'), Galdino (45')
Ely (32'), Reinaldo (36'), Kannemann (45+4')
Aug 13, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 19
Gremio
2-1
Fluminense
Bitello (25'), Ferreira (45+1')
Villasanti (42'), Da Silva (46'), Suarez (82')
Cano (19')
Santos (27'), Xavier (30'), Diniz (32'), Danielzinho (57'), Andre (73')
Nov 10, 2021 12.30am
Jul 18, 2021 1am
Gameweek 12
Fluminense
0-1
Gremio
Lucca (77')
Henrique (42'), Kannemann (46'), Pyerre (90+8')
Nov 8, 2020 11.30pm
Gameweek 20
Fluminense
0-1
Gremio
Pepe (28')
(90+5')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo28176546252157
2PalmeirasPalmeiras28175646202656
3FortalezaFortaleza27157536261052
4FlamengoFlamengo26136742321045
5Sao Paulo2713593529644
6Bahia2712693831742
7Cruzeiro2712693427742
8InternacionalInternacional2611963223942
9Atletico Mineiro269983638-236
10Vasco da GamaVasco26105113036-635
11BragantinoBragantino2889113438-433
12JuventudeJuventude2889113238-633
13Gremio2795132934-532
14CriciumaCriciuma2788113441-732
15Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR2587102729-231
16Vitoria2784152939-1028
17Corinthians27610112633-728
18Fluminense2676132129-827
19Cuiaba2658132338-1523
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO2746172145-2418


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