MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 08:08:35| >> :300:86500:86500:
Fortaleza
Brasileiro | Gameweek 10
Jun 20, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Comendador Agostinho Prada
Gremio

Fortaleza
1 - 0
Gremio

Martin Lucero (42' pen.)
Augusto (33'), Martin Lucero (90+5'), Calebe (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Marchesin (45+8'), Ely (45+4'), Edenilson (81'), Reinaldo (90+5')
Pepe (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Brasileiro clash between Fortaleza and Gremio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fortaleza

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Cuiaba 5-0 Fortaleza
Sunday, June 16 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Gremio

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Gremio 1-2 Botafogo
Sunday, June 16 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

We said: Fortaleza 1-0 Gremio

 The 2024 season has been a total nightmare for Gremio so far, as they find themselves without a home ground and missing several players due to international duty and injury. While Fortaleza have certainly not set the league alight themselves this term, they are still unbeaten at home and we feel they will be able to edge a victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 54.48%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Gremio had a probability of 21.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Gremio win it was 0-1 (6.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fortaleza in this match.

Result
FortalezaDrawGremio
54.48% (-0.32700000000001 -0.33) 24.21% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06) 21.31% (0.382 0.38)
Both teams to score 49.94% (0.693 0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.93% (0.648 0.65)51.07% (-0.648 -0.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.07% (0.565 0.56)72.92% (-0.56599999999999 -0.57)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.35% (0.12100000000001 0.12)18.65% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.03% (0.20200000000001 0.2)49.97% (-0.205 -0.2)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.39% (0.761 0.76)38.61% (-0.762 -0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.65% (0.716 0.72)75.35% (-0.717 -0.72)
Score Analysis
    Fortaleza 54.47%
    Gremio 21.31%
    Draw 24.2%
FortalezaDrawGremio
1-0 @ 12.09% (-0.27 -0.27)
2-0 @ 10.15% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-1 @ 9.66% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.68% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-1 @ 5.41% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.57% (0.069 0.07)
4-0 @ 2.39% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.27% (0.023 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.08% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 54.47%
1-1 @ 11.5% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.2% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-2 @ 4.6% (0.105 0.11)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 24.2%
0-1 @ 6.85% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-2 @ 5.48% (0.105 0.11)
0-2 @ 3.26% (0.05 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.74% (0.068 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.46% (0.063 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.04% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 21.31%

How you voted: Fortaleza vs Gremio

Fortaleza
78.6%
Draw
21.4%
Gremio
0.0%
14
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 25
Fortaleza
1-1
Gremio
Galhardo (44' pen.)
Marcelo (90+6')
Suarez (80')
Nathan (59'), Besozzi (74')
May 14, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 6
Gremio
0-0
Fortaleza
Oct 14, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 26
Fortaleza
1-0
Gremio
Pikachu (79')
Robson (45+3'), Felipe (89')

Ruan (81'), Everton (90+4')
> Preview
Jun 28, 2021 12am
Gameweek 7
Gremio
0-0
Fortaleza
> Preview
Jan 10, 2021 12am
Gameweek 29
Fortaleza
0-0
Gremio
Derley (45+4'), Paulao (51'), Felipe (57'), Paulista (72')
Silva (38'), Doin (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo382310559293079
2PalmeirasPalmeiras38227960332773
3FlamengoFlamengo382010861421970
4FortalezaFortaleza381911853391468
5InternacionalInternacional381811953361765
6Sao Paulo381781353431059
7Corinthians381511125445956
8Bahia38158154949053
9Cruzeiro381410144341252
10Vasco da GamaVasco38148164356-1350
11Vitoria38138174552-747
12Atletico Mineiro381114134754-747
13Fluminense381210163339-646
14Gremio38129174450-645
15JuventudeJuventude381112154859-1145
16BragantinoBragantino381014144448-444
17Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR38119184046-642
18CriciumaCriciuma38911184261-1938
19Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3879222958-2930
20Cuiaba38612202949-2030
> Brasileiro Full Table


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