Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 57.29%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 18.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.31%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.