Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 60.07%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Sport Recife had a probability of 16.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Sport Recife win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.