Brasileiro | Gameweek 17

Jul 17, 2022 at 8pm UK

Estadio do Morumbi

Sao Paulo
2 - 2
Fluminense

Luciano (34'), Patrick (42')
Diego (18'), Luciano (31'), Patrick (67'), Calleri (79')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Andre (25'), Manoel (64')
Andre (79'), Paulista (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Sao Paulo and Fluminense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sao Paulo

Last Six:

Last Game: Palmeiras 2-1 Sao Paulo (3-4 pen.)
Friday, July 15 at 12am in Copa do Brasil

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Flamengo	17	3	24
8	Sao Paulo	16	4	23
9	Santos	17	4	22

We said: Sao Paulo 1-2 Fluminense

With both of the league's top marksmen on show, goals are almost guaranteed in this clash between two of Brazil's grandest clubs. In fact, an entertaining affair could ensue if in-form Flu strike early - forcing their hosts to chase the game and leave gaps in behind - and the visitors are best equipped to edge it. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 48.96%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 23.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
Sao Paulo	Draw	Fluminense
48.96% ( 0.35)	27.92% ( 0)	23.12% ( -0.35)

Both teams to score 42.04% (

-0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.49% (

-0.24)

62.51% (

0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.89% (

-0.18)

82.11% (

0.18)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.21% (

0.06)

25.79% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.25% (

0.08)

60.75% (

-0.08)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.66% (

-0.48)

43.34% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.42% (

-0.41)

79.58% (

0.41)

Score Analysis

Sao Paulo 48.95%

Fluminense 23.12%

Draw 27.9%

Sao Paulo	Draw	Fluminense
1-0 @ 15.14% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 10.26% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.88% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0) Other @ 1.96% Total : 48.95%	1-1 @ 12.66% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 11.17% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.49% Total : 27.9%	0-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.01% Total : 23.12%