Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sport Recife win with a probability of 45.97%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 25.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sport Recife win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 2-1 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.93%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (9.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.